Posts Tagged ‘your doctor’

Type 1 & 2 errors in cancer.

June 14, 2013

Based on my knowledge and experience as a psychologist, parapsychologist and behavioral economist this blog should have thousands of visitors. Based on the special, scientific, free, unique, simple a practical advise that I am giving out this blog should have millions of visitors. My blog has  no more than a 1000 lucky followers, individuals who can tolerate the wait between postings. Sorry guys. I work harder now than when I was a hired professor. Little time to spare.

Today, I will give you a treat, the story of Type One and Type Two errors. Why? Because knowing this information helped save my life from cancer and I may include this information in my 2014 presentation in Rome. My health deteriorated in the last 10 years after age 67, first a ruptured appendix, than prostate cancer and finally bone cancer. I remember the first time that I used Type 2 Error to refuse an X-Ray. The physician in the hospital asked, “Are you a doctor?” I said, “No, I am a psychologist.’ The next day, the laparoscopic doctor came by and said, “I will discharge you today, I assume that the tiny pus particles left in your abdominal cavity would be taken care of by the antibiotics.” You don’t need the extra X-Ray. You see, Type 2 error is when research, studies, diagnosis, prognosis, treatment plan, or even an analysis by a physician, government or any authority says, “Let’s protect ourselves by ordering more “stuff” than is needed in case there are problems, shortages, etc.. In treating me it translated to ordering 10% more tests and treatment in case my cancer was the worse kind. It wasn’t. You need to know that Type 2 error expects your doctor to say, “You may have cancer,” than to say, “I don’t think you have cancer.” If he says that you have cancer when you don’t (Type 2) everyone is happy. If he says that you don’t have cancer when you do (Type 1), everyone is sad and may be accusatory. Type 1 error is more suitable for counseling psychologists, social workers, the sunny side kind, since the patient’s belief and placebo both heal.

How did Type 2 Error saved my life? Today, I am cured of prostate cancer Stage 4! Today my bone cancer is down to a one millimeter tumor size that had shrunk 50% this year! In the last few yours I have refused X-rays, bone density tests and all treatments that I considered emanating from Type 2 psyche. People say that I take a chance with my life. Yes, I am healthy, my PhD allow me to do research that my physicians don’t do. I must say, though, if you are an average dude, don’t challenge medicine. Don’t do what I did with my healing. For you, knowing about Type 1 and 2 errors is useful mostly in business and relationships. Always allocate more resources when you don’t think that you would need them. Always test and detest a new relationship, especially when you think it’s perfect. Be an optimist.