The science of estimating is crucial for success not only as an investor but in any relationship that you are in (I will give you the rules of the science of estimating in future postings). People who shoot for the bull’s eye will be crashed by the bull 99 times out of a 100. People who shoot for the bull’s head will win 99 times out of 100. Perfectionists are losers! Estimators are winners!
We have five days before the mid-term election of a third of the Senate and all the House members in Washington. I made my estimated predictions of the results on March 22,2010 at 10:26 PM as to not to be influenced by last-minute gaffe’ by candidates or distortions by the media. I will not repeat my predictions here. You will need to go 8 months back to March 22, 2010 at 10:26 PM to read my predictions for November 2, 2010 elections! Nest week I will analyze the results against my predictions to find out if I am as good in political estimating as I am in behavioral economics estimating in Wall Street. My estimate is that I will be about 90% correct. You can send your election estimates to my blog (drelior.wordpress.com) for the next 4 days. I will announce the names of the winners – those of you with better estimated results than myself! Let’s have fun with it!
The Peaceful Revolution 