As you thread your way through life as the Obama campaign picks up momentum in the coming elections in the United States, you will discuss with your friends, relatives and co-workers the implications to the world of Obama killing Osama. I don’t want you to just talk about this momentous event. I want you to talk intelligently about it along the following probably outcomes:

1. The probability that Obama will be reelected as president of the United States in 2012 has doubled. He will not be perceived anymore as a commander-in-chief who prefers counterinsurgency over counterterrorism, as Bush was. The Pentagon lost, the CIA won. Donald Trump who wrote a book  Think big and Kick Ass will have a hard time defeating Obama. Running for president of the United States shows already that he thinks big, and you have seen what some perceive as his mean-spirited ass kicking skill on TV – but you ain’t seen nothing yet – The 2012 election will be the “War of the Political Titans” as the psychological impact of Obama triumph over Osama fades away.

2. Forgive the poor analogy, but when John Wooden left the scene when I was a student at UCLA, the Bruins couldn’t win another national championship with a succession of basket ball coaches. An ace leader, whether evil of good, is not replaceable. If the attempted assassination of Hitler succeeded, WW2 would have ended sooner than 1945. Here is what will happen:  Al Qaeda will get smaller, lose momentum, shrink in recruiting success, but increase in radicalism. Many splinter units will perpetrate many more small but vicious attacks on Western target. The year 2012 will see the beginning of a “War of the Political, Economic, Military, Media, Internet, and terror Titans” as the clash of civilizations intensify before it subsides and peace comes to the world with democracy.

3. It is going to get worse before it gets better, contrary to wishful thinking of CNN. The birth trauma of a more free, peaceful and prosperous civilization is upon us. Welcome to the Armageddon process!


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